{ "schema_version": 2, "title": "Miru: projected assessment and modeled work without author-side or independent-review corrections", "publication_status": "All author records assigned; original rubric preserved; exact arithmetic reproduced", "prepared_at_utc_date": "2026-11-02", "epistemic_status": { "projected_score": "Analyst judgment conditional on full completion of the remaining agreed work; not an observed completed-delivery score.", "modeled_score": "Modeled work without corrections from author-side plan/build review and independent code review. Not a measured standalone-model baseline; no alternative implementation was run.", "findings": "585 recorded author-side resolutions plus 233 retained independent-review corrections. A record is not necessarily a unique defect, an audited patch or a production incident." }, "sources": [ { "id": "projected_scorecard", "title": "Miru evaluation and transcript analysis: projected scorecard", "revision_date": "2026-10-29", "evidence_snapshot_date": "2026-10-28", "pages": [ 5, 6 ], "sha256": "27ba61e87bd8c70b2830907d086d49139045905943a8cee01d898f69d1675798", "access": "Underlying assessment is private. The category scores and weights are reproduced here as aggregate calculation inputs.", "scope": "The original Miru demo corpus; a projection assuming completion of remaining migration work and required follow-ups, including end-to-end acceptance." }, { "id": "review_scenario_aggregate", "title": "Review-finding scenario analysis, projected-base table and count summary", "revision_date": "2026-11-02", "version": "c1958dd6dcd", "sha256": "b9012c6869ed4a2403e841dbdc667ec7dc18a0cd72876eb21f6ca0d060f3ed83", "sections": [ 1, 2, 4, 6 ], "access": "The assessment narrative is private. Its aggregate category table is reproduced here; public review records are supplied by the separate public census.", "scope": "114 pull requests in the source corpus; fixed-before-merge counts retain only findings on its 103 merged pull requests.", "verification": "All projected anchors, weights, severity aggregates and arithmetic independently checked. The final 289-row category source reproduces every category count, and all ordered path-rule assignments were checked." }, { "id": "public_review_census", "title": "Miru public pull-request and inline-review census", "repository_url": "https://github.com/Homie-Improvement/miru", "retrieved_at": "2026-11-02T01:48:56.742675+00:00", "public_source_sha256": "5f5f946d8f5e4efecb081a73ea2194d5bd347bc25aae771205044c85f1b02d02", "scope": "Complete pagination: 114 PRs, 622 inline comments, 289 reviewer roots; 278 roots on 103 merged PRs.", "unit": "Top-level reviewer finding thread, with re-raise replies remaining inside the original thread.", "retained_correction_exception_url": "https://github.com/Homie-Improvement/miru/pull/197#discussion_r4384019147", "verification": "Independent census reconciles 233 retained corrections and 232 final-fixed dispositions; the one earlier accepted correction was also inspected in code. All 17 documentation category assignments were checked from public paths.", "mapping_status": "All 289 root identifiers match the final category source. The exact ordered category rules reproduce all 289 assignments and every retained per-category severity total." }, { "id": "final_category_rows", "title": "Final per-root category assignments and ordered path rules", "version": "c1958dd6dcd", "source_rows_sha256": "bf6eb1b93f11db0c443ea804019affe38822d586a9c83883d79ed5bc3ed74d48", "root_rows": 289, "retained_rows": 233, "scope": "Same public Miru review roots as the independent census; final category and the first matching path rule are recorded for each root.", "verification": "All 289 root IDs match the independent census; all ordered regex assignments and all retained per-category severity totals independently recomputed.", "retention_qualification": "This source records the earlier-correction exception as fixed. The independent census preserves its final declined disposition and separately records its retained earlier correction." }, { "id": "author_side_category_rows", "title": "Retained author-review evidence and per-record category assignments", "source_commit": "6aeffec4db524fe8a08235dd377643281b6b2348", "plan_table_sha256": "cf163ba7926b87755847b3a7f2d069320f72d2b55d87a57d36f1cfd21925dc35", "author_export_sha256": "931d1e2de062109327baa6bfc31bd37fd6aa8495a009d43c9a51906745e942a5", "scope": "585 fixed records before independent review: 560 implementation and 25 design; 411 plan and 174 build.", "access": "Sanitized author-side evidence and all category assignments published in this bundle; original private capture and plan revisions withheld." } ], "rubric": { "minimum_anchor": 0, "maximum_anchor": 5, "engineering_rated_weight": 51, "process_rated_weight": 45, "total_rated_weight": 96, "excluded_original_domain": { "label": "Cost and delivery efficiency", "weight": 4, "reason": "Completion cost is unknown; the projected assessment leaves this domain unrated." }, "scale_note": "Weighted rubric points normalized to 100. These are not percentages of tasks passed, benchmark scores, probabilities or percentiles." }, "cohort": { "source": "public_review_census", "pull_requests": 114, "merged_pull_requests": 103, "merged_pull_requests_with_findings": 72, "review_comment_records": 622, "top_level_review_finding_threads": 289, "top_level_threads_on_merged_prs": 278, "deferred_threads_on_merged_prs": 34, "unit": "Top-level inline review finding thread, not necessarily a unique defect or a unique corrective commit.", "scope_note": "The refreshed census and original assessment cover the same 114 PRs and 289 roots. The 103 merged count includes 99 implementation, two design and two human preparation/scope PRs; this is cohort scope rather than later activity.", "retention_rule": "Retain the 232 roots whose final substantive author disposition is fixed, plus one earlier explicit correction that source inspection confirms remained at merge and the evaluated revision even though the final arbitration response declined further change as already correct.", "limitations": "Every included root has a fix reply naming a commit. This establishes the recorded correction claim, not an individual patch audit of all 233 threads. The one retained earlier correction was inspected in its fix commits, merge and evaluated revision.", "retained_correction_threads": 233, "retained_threads_with_explicit_fix_reply": 233, "final_fixed_threads": 232, "retained_earlier_correction_with_final_set_aside_threads": 1, "final_declined_threads_on_merged_prs": 12, "final_deferred_threads_on_merged_prs": 34, "final_deferred_or_declined_threads_on_merged_prs": 46, "threads_excluded_from_retained_correction_set": 45, "merged_implementation_pull_requests": 99, "merged_design_pull_requests": 2, "merged_human_preparation_pull_requests": 2, "all_pr_retained_correction_threads": 239, "retained_correction_threads_on_unmerged_prs_excluded": 6, "merged_pull_requests_with_retained_corrections": 70, "case_study_reconciliation": { "case_study_non_minor_implementation_threads": 196, "additional_minor_implementation_threads": 24, "additional_design_threads": 12, "retained_earlier_correction_with_final_set_aside_threads": 1, "retained_correction_total": 233, "explanation": "196 + 24 + 12 + 1 = 233. The broader modeled-scenario input includes Minor and design findings and one retained earlier correction beyond the implementation-only non-Minor case-study measure." } }, "categories": [ { "id": "E1", "label": "Architecture and service boundaries", "group": "engineering", "weight": 10, "projected_anchor": 4.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 4, "high": 17, "P2": 21, "P3": 3 }, "fixed_finding_total": 45, "operation": "apply_finding_penalty", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 2.5 }, { "id": "E2", "label": "Functional correctness and integration", "group": "engineering", "weight": 10, "projected_anchor": 4, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 42, "high": 69, "P2": 22, "P3": 6 }, "fixed_finding_total": 139, "operation": "apply_finding_penalty", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 2.0 }, { "id": "E3", "label": "Data, events, cutover and rollback", "group": "engineering", "weight": 8, "projected_anchor": 4.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 22, "high": 73, "P2": 37, "P3": 5 }, "fixed_finding_total": 137, "operation": "apply_finding_penalty", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 2.5 }, { "id": "E4", "label": "Code quality and abstractions", "group": "engineering", "weight": 8, "projected_anchor": 3.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 1, "P2": 6, "P3": 4 }, "fixed_finding_total": 11, "operation": "apply_finding_penalty", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 2.45 }, { "id": "E5", "label": "Tests and verification", "group": "engineering", "weight": 10, "projected_anchor": 4.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 17, "P2": 260, "P3": 111 }, "fixed_finding_total": 388, "operation": "apply_finding_penalty", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 2.5 }, { "id": "E6", "label": "Operational readiness", "group": "engineering", "weight": 5, "projected_anchor": 4, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 2, "high": 18, "P2": 0, "P3": 0 }, "fixed_finding_total": 20, "operation": "apply_finding_penalty", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 2.0 }, { "id": "P1", "label": "Requirements and design traceability", "group": "process", "weight": 5, "projected_anchor": 4, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 9, "P2": 18, "P3": 15 }, "fixed_finding_total": 42, "operation": "apply_finding_penalty", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 2.0 }, { "id": "P2", "label": "Decomposition and dependencies", "group": "process", "weight": 5, "projected_anchor": 4, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 0, "P2": 1, "P3": 6 }, "fixed_finding_total": 7, "operation": "hold_projected", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 4.0 }, { "id": "P3", "label": "Scope discipline", "group": "process", "weight": 4, "projected_anchor": 3.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 9, "P2": 8, "P3": 10 }, "fixed_finding_total": 27, "operation": "hold_projected", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 3.5 }, { "id": "P4", "label": "Independent review quality", "group": "process", "weight": 8, "projected_anchor": 4, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 0, "P2": 0, "P3": 0 }, "fixed_finding_total": 0, "operation": "set_absent", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 0.0 }, { "id": "P5", "label": "Author response and convergence", "group": "process", "weight": 5, "projected_anchor": 3.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 0, "P2": 0, "P3": 0 }, "fixed_finding_total": 0, "operation": "set_absent", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 0.0 }, { "id": "P6", "label": "PR and comment communication", "group": "process", "weight": 4, "projected_anchor": 3.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 0, "P2": 0, "P3": 0 }, "fixed_finding_total": 0, "operation": "hold_projected", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 3.5 }, { "id": "P7", "label": "Follow-up quality", "group": "process", "weight": 5, "projected_anchor": 3.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 0, "P2": 0, "P3": 0 }, "fixed_finding_total": 0, "operation": "set_absent", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 0.0 }, { "id": "P8", "label": "Issue grooming", "group": "process", "weight": 4, "projected_anchor": 3.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 0, "P2": 0, "P3": 0 }, "fixed_finding_total": 0, "operation": "set_absent", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 0.0 }, { "id": "P9", "label": "Learnings and their grooming", "group": "process", "weight": 5, "projected_anchor": 3.5, "fixed_finding_counts": { "blocker": 0, "high": 0, "P2": 0, "P3": 2 }, "fixed_finding_total": 2, "operation": "set_absent", "score_and_weight_source": "projected_scorecard", "finding_count_source": "author_side_category_rows + final_category_rows", "finding_count_status": "reconciled_from_final_row_assignments", "zero_count_interpretation": "No retained finding thread was assigned here by this mapping; this does not establish an absence of defects.", "declared_modeled_anchor": 0.0 } ], "finding_severity_totals": { "blocker": 70, "high": 213, "P2": 373, "P3": 162 }, "category_assignment": { "method": "Original ordered file-path rules for independent and build review, plus disclosed per-record analyst judgment for 411 plan findings without structured file locations.", "public_summary": [ { "category": "E5", "path_family": "Test/specification files" }, { "category": "E6", "path_family": "Container, workflow, process and configuration files" }, { "category": "E3", "path_family": "Handoff, relay, outbox, checkpoint, reconciliation, projection, migration and invoice-ledger implementation" }, { "category": "E1", "path_family": "Gateway, ownership, contracts, fences, token-verification and timekeeping service implementation" }, { "category": "E2", "path_family": "Other application or library implementation" }, { "category": "E4", "path_family": "Remaining code" }, { "category": "P1", "path_family": "Architecture/design documentation" }, { "category": "P9", "path_family": "Retained learning documentation" } ], "limitations": [ "File location is a proxy for rubric relevance, not a semantic classification of the defect or its effect.", "For example, a boundary defect found in a test file is assigned to tests rather than architecture.", "One thread receives one category even when its consequences span categories; repeated or overlapping findings need not represent independent defects.", "The exact rule order matters. A prose-only reconstruction assigned some engineering findings differently. The supplied final row assignments and ordered regex table, rather than the abbreviated prose, define this calculation.", "The public aggregate inputs reproduce score arithmetic; the separate public census and final row assignments support reproduction of root counts, dispositions and category totals. Reproduction is not empirical validation of the scoring choices.", "Plan assignments reflect the substantive engineering consequence described in the finding and correction; no source path is invented.", "The 411 plan assignments are judgments by one analyst. The plan-excluded sensitivity removes them; classification ambiguity is not a statistical confidence interval." ], "ordered_regex_rules": [ { "priority": 1, "category": "E5", "regex": "^(spec/|timekeeping/spec/|gems/[^/]+/spec/|test/)" }, { "priority": 2, "category": "E6", "regex": "(Dockerfile|\\.github/|Procfile|config/(database|solid_queue|environments)|bin/|docker-compose)" }, { "priority": 3, "category": "E3", "regex": "(handoff|relay|outbox|checkpoint|reconcil|snapshot|projection|db/migrate|db/schema|operation_coordinator|outbox_delivery|idempot|financial|money)" }, { "priority": 4, "category": "E1", "regex": "(app/services/timekeeping/|contracts/|gateway|ownership|billing_fence|reservation_adapters|entry_owner|token_verifier|service_token)" }, { "priority": 5, "category": "E2", "regex": "(app/(controllers|models|policies|services|jobs|mailers|mcp)/|timekeeping/app/|gems/[^/]+/lib/|lib/)" }, { "priority": 6, "category": "P1", "regex": "^docs/architecture/" }, { "priority": 7, "category": "P9", "regex": "^docs/solutions/" } ], "regex_interpretation": "Python regular-expression search on the public finding file path, in priority order; first match wins. If none matches, assign E4. Category rules are classification choices, not measurements of defect consequences.", "fallback_category": "E4", "verification": "All 289 assignments reproduce using the exact ordered rules; the 233 retained rows reproduce every category/severity aggregate." }, "formula": { "finding_penalty": "d[c] = min(category_penalty_cap, sum(count[c,severity] * severity_penalty[severity]))", "finding_adjusted_anchor": "For apply_finding_penalty: m[c] = max(anchor_floor, projected[c] - d[c]).", "held_anchor": "For hold_projected: m[c] = projected[c]. No estimate is made of the comparator changing that category.", "absent_anchor": "For set_absent: m[c] = 0, before applying any floor. This is a scenario assumption, not an observed capability limitation.", "aggregate": "score(group) = 100 * sum(weight[c] * anchor[c]) / (5 * sum(weight[c])) for the categories included in that group.", "gap": "projected score minus modeled score, calculated before rounding.", "rounding": "Display one decimal, round half up; retain exact fractions in the calculation output. Displayed endpoints can therefore differ by 0.1 from the displayed gap.", "severity_note": "blocker and high correspond to the source reviewer severity labels. P1 as a rubric category means traceability and must not be confused with a reviewer severity label." }, "scenario_assumptions": [ "Use the same projected completion anchors for every reported sensitivity; do not substitute the observed snapshot or the later process-only reassessment.", "Treat the retained fixed findings as absent fixes and translate their reviewer severities to anchor deductions. This is an analyst-selected scoring rule, not a measured causal effect or a calibrated prediction.", "Set independent review, author response, follow-ups, issue grooming and learnings to zero in the overall scenario by definition. Model sessions can perform such activities; their absence is not established by another run.", "Hold decomposition, scope and communication at the original projected anchors. The author records include decomposition and scope concerns, but this scenario preserves the pre-existing held-category rule.", "Keep traceability under the finding-penalty rule. Both learning findings are retained in the source count; their category is set to zero and their individual penalties are not separately applied.", "Keep deferred and declined findings outside the additional penalty. They are already part of the assessed history; the model does not newly subtract them.", "Do not infer that removing fixes creates an executable or feasible completed system; no fixes were actually reverted and no resulting system was evaluated.", "Do not estimate hypothetical self-correction, initial investigation and planning benefits, interactions among fixes or the effect of unavailable records. Those unmeasured effects do not establish a net direction of bias." ], "aggregate_groups": [ { "id": "engineering", "category_ids": [ "E1", "E2", "E3", "E4", "E5", "E6" ] }, { "id": "process", "category_ids": [ "P1", "P2", "P3", "P4", "P5", "P6", "P7", "P8", "P9" ] }, { "id": "overall", "category_ids": [ "E1", "E2", "E3", "E4", "E5", "E6", "P1", "P2", "P3", "P4", "P5", "P6", "P7", "P8", "P9" ] }, { "id": "process_excluding_assumed_absent", "category_ids": [ "P1", "P2", "P3", "P6" ] }, { "id": "overall_excluding_assumed_absent", "category_ids": [ "E1", "E2", "E3", "E4", "E5", "E6", "P1", "P2", "P3", "P6" ] } ], "scenarios": [ { "id": "declared", "label": "Declared severity rule", "severity_penalties": { "blocker": 0.5, "high": 0.25, "P2": 0.1, "P3": 0.05 }, "category_penalty_cap": 2, "anchor_floor": 1, "status": "Primary illustrative scenario" }, { "id": "blocker_high_only", "label": "Only blocker/high findings; cap 1.5", "severity_penalties": { "blocker": 0.5, "high": 0.25, "P2": 0, "P3": 0 }, "category_penalty_cap": 1.5, "anchor_floor": 1, "status": "Alternative from the source, recomputed on the same projected base" }, { "id": "half_severity_penalties", "label": "Half severity penalties; cap 2", "severity_penalties": { "blocker": 0.25, "high": 0.125, "P2": 0.05, "P3": 0.025 }, "category_penalty_cap": 2, "anchor_floor": 1, "status": "Illustrative parameter sensitivity; not a confidence interval" }, { "id": "one_step_cap", "label": "Declared severity penalties; cap 1", "severity_penalties": { "blocker": 0.5, "high": 0.25, "P2": 0.1, "P3": 0.05 }, "category_penalty_cap": 1, "anchor_floor": 1, "status": "Illustrative parameter sensitivity; not a lower or upper performance bound" }, { "id": "three_step_cap", "label": "Declared severity penalties; cap 3", "severity_penalties": { "blocker": 0.5, "high": 0.25, "P2": 0.1, "P3": 0.05 }, "category_penalty_cap": 3, "anchor_floor": 1, "status": "Illustrative parameter sensitivity; not a lower or upper performance bound" } ], "interpretation_limits": [ "This is one projected assessment and a family of constructed scoring scenarios, not a matched experiment or a measured head-to-head comparison.", "The severity coefficients, cap, floor, original anchors, path mapping and plan-category judgments are assessment choices. Arithmetic correctness does not validate them as estimates of another system.", "Testing selected sensitivities provides no claim about all defensible rules, statistical uncertainty or performance bounds.", "A capped category can remain unchanged after some parameter changes; that is a property of the chosen formula, not proof that missing evidence or alternate categorization cannot matter.", "A fair outcome comparison would require actual comparable runs with common requirements, information, resources and evaluation criteria." ], "publication_note": "Published source inputs and arithmetic for the expanded no-review-corrections scenario. Raw private transcripts and assessment narratives are not included. 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